As the Major League Baseball season comes to a close with the Yankees beating out the Phillies for their 27th championship, we can look back on an entire seasons worth of game data.

True Money

Before we break down some general stats, we want to take a moment to explain TweetWager’s True Money calculation. This is a metric unique to TweetWager that we have developed as a measurement for a particular betting line.

True Money shows the net dollar value resulting from placing a $100 wager on every game for each bet type.

So, for example, if a person were to place a $100 wager on the MONEY Favorite for each of the 2,556 tracked MLB games last season, taking into account the line when calculating the win amount, that person would have won 57% of the bets (1,451) but would still end up with a $8,813 loss.

Overall Statistics for MLB 2009

A cursory glance at the full seasons breakdown shows some interesting results, although an experienced handicapper may not find them surprising. It turns out that this year there wasn’t a single line in MLB that you could bet consistently and win money. This basically means that the guys in Vegas setting the lines really know what they are doing.

Based strictly on percentages, the following lines were winners this year:

• The Favorite Team 57% (MONEY)
• The Home Team 55% (MONEY)
• The Underdog 57% (SPREAD)
• The Away Team 54% (SPREAD)

Your best bet for a net dollar win was the Underdog Money Line (-$638).

Your worst bet, resulting in the greatest loss, was betting the OVER (-$21,092).

Some basic observations of the 2009 MLB Season: The Home Team won more often; There were far fewer runs scored in each game than Vegas anticipated.

Focused Statistics

Using the stats we’ve gathered and our statistics configuration form, you can determine all kinds of relevant information. When baseball starts back up in 2010, you can look back at the 2009 statistics for a particular wager you might be interested in.

Let’s say there is a game on 09/15/10 being played between Angels and the Red Sox. Let’s say the line is Red Sox -136 -1.5(+145) with an over/under of 9.

You can visit our statistics page and run different reports to get historical data on similar games. For example:

• On 09/15/09 there were 15 games with these results
  
• In 2009, there were 599 games with an Over/Under of 9 with these results:
  
  The majority of games with an over/under of 9 in 2009 were UNDER

There are limitless combination’s of statistics that you can run to help you make a technically informed decision.

The Future

TweetWager is committed to gathering this data for as many leagues as possible going forward. Over time, we will establish an extremely useful set of data that will provide insight into handicapping that has previously been unavailable to the average person. We are going to be rolling out further analytics soon that will continue to expand our offering.

The statistics are only one part of TweetWager however. The social aspect of the site and the real time discussion about the games can give you an even bigger edge. When a user submits their suggestion for a particular game, you can see their track record to decide on how reliable and accurate this person really is. You can also build your name and reputation through TweetWager and gain a substantial following of eager handicappers awaiting your next recommendation.

All of these things combine to make TweetWager a unique and valuable site for anyone interested in the world of sports handicapping.

We started TweetWager for a few simple reasons:

1. Twitter is a great new open communication tool, but it’s so large and so open that it’s hard to find quality voices on topics of interest
2. While there are a lot of good sports handicapping information sites, few sites (if any) provide open communication with tools to validate handicapping selections
3. Touts – they create a lot of noise without ever validating their skill in an open, honest forum. We wanted to create the most open, most honest forum possible.

If you’re a successful sports handicapper, you can prove it on TweetWager.  If you’re looking to find quality voices, you’ll ultimately find them on TweetWager.  Join the conversation, prove your skill, profit from the information.